@Risk

Last week at the International Conference on Emerging Infectious Diseases in Atlanta, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention presented new research that reveals two emerging –and disturbing –trends:

• Foodborne disease outbreaks caused by imported food appeared to rise in 2009 and 2010, and
• Nearly half of the outbreaks implicated foods imported from areas which had not been associated with outbreaks previously.

An earlier report from the Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (ERS) found that US food imports grew from $41 billion in 1998 to $78 billion in 2007, and that much of that growth occurred in fruit and vegetables, seafood and processed food products.

All told, researchers now estimate that about 16 percent of all the food Americans eat is imported, including up to 85 percent of the seafood and depending on the time of year, as much as 60 percent of fresh produce.

The CDC’s recent study reviewed outbreaks reported to its Foodborne Disease Outbreak Surveillance System from 2005-2010 for implicated foods that were imported into the US. During that five-year period, 39 outbreaks and 2,348 illnesses were linked to imported food from 15 countries. Of those outbreaks: (more…)

New survey results from Aon eSolutions offer some valuable insight into how the use of risk technology can impact an organization’s risk and data management, as well as the total cost of risk.

For example, according to the survey of more than 400 risk professionals from 57 countries:

• The number one benefit and driving force behind the use of risk technology is accurate and reliable data. Companies use risk management information systems (RMIS) to manage business operations and generated accurate financial information.
• More organizations are now closely tracking return on investment (ROI) for risk technology tools.  The study results revealed that more than 25 percent of those polled expect to save up to $50,000 per year from using risk/insurance and claims technology.
• Compliance is an emerging benefit of using risk management tools.

Based on the survey results, Aon eSolutions identified these top ten benefits of risk technology: (more…)

Identity fraud jumped by 13 percent in 2011, and that increase may be the result of consumers’ social media and mobile behaviors.

For the past nine years, Javelin Strategy & Research has conducted an annual analysis of identity fraud trends, and for the first time, the 2011 study examined social media and mobile phone behaviors, ultimately uncovering certain related consumer practices that appear to increase risks.

Here are some of the key findings in more detail:

• The overall number of identity fraud cases is up, but the dollar amount held steady. Javelin found that more than 11.6 million adults became a victim of identity fraud in the US last year, although the dollar amount stolen remained constant. (Javelin defines “identity fraud” as the unauthorized use of another person’s personal information to achieve illicit financial gain.)
• Social behaviors are risky. LinkedIn, Google+, Twitter and Facebook users had the highest incidence of fraud although there is no proof of direct causation.  What’s the risk? Javelin found that consumers share significant amounts of personal information frequently used to authenticate identity. For example: (more…)

Mounting tensions with Iran have many keeping a watchful eye on global energy prices. However, Iran is not the only potential trouble-spot.

The results of Maplecroft’s Resource Nationalism Index show that a full 44 percent of global oil production currently occurs in countries that pose a ‘high’ or ‘extreme risk’ of resource nationalism. In fact, the list includes eight of the twelve members of OPEC .

As Maplecroft defines it, resource nationalism is a rising phenomenon where governments of countries hosting large reserves of natural resources try to secure greater economic benefit from their exploitation or leverage political gain through restricting supplies. This not only has operational and financial implications for extractive companies operating in these countries, but it could create further instability for the global energy markets.

The Resource Nationalism Index identifies the risk of resource nationalism across 197 countries.

Maplecroft included nine countries in the “extreme” risk category: (more…)

What’s the biggest headache for corporate finance executives these days?

No surprise –it’s the unpredictable global economy.

According to a recent poll of 435 CFOs, corporate treasurers and other senior finance executives, nearly three-fourths (72 percent) agreed their top concern is managing financial uncertainty, including the risks associated with credit, liquidity, interest rates and currency/foreign exchange.

In addition, more than one-third of respondents are worried about risks associated with:

• macroeconomic conditions, such as the pace of economic growth and inflation (38 percent)
• business/operations, including supply chain and/or production disruptions, litigation, labor and outsourcing (36 percent)

External risks (country, regulatory, natural disaster) and commodity risks (power/heat, crude oil & distillates, agricultural and metals) also emerged as concerns for a significant share of the organizations polled, but to a lesser degree.

And, four in ten respondents (41 percent) said they expect even more earnings uncertainty in the coming years.

The survey results, released last month by the Association for Financial Professionals (AFP), also revealed that: (more…)