@Risk

New orders for manufactured goods rose for the second consecutive month in December, the US Department of Commerce reported on Friday.

In addition:

• Shipments increased 0.7 percent –up for the seventh consecutive month.
• Unfilled orders increased 1.4 percent –now up 20 of the last 21 months.
• Inventories increased 0.1 percent –up 26 of the last 27 months.

The latest report from the Institute for Supply Management also showed signs of improvement. According to the ISM Report On Business, economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in January for the 25^th consecutive month.

ISM’s research found that the 12 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in January were (in order): (more…)

Pursuing deals in growth markets can be tremendously beneficial.  But, doing business in growth markets is inherently more risky, too.

What can your company do to take advantage of the benefits (low cost manufacturing, access to natural resources, market access for basic global products, buyers with access to core operations, etc.), while mitigating potential pitfalls?

For starters, you may want to read PwC’s new study, Getting on the Right Side of the Delta: A Deal-maker’s Guide to Growth Economies. After analyzing 200 deals (both publicly announced and private ones for which PwC was an advisor) and interviewing 20 leading dealmakers around the world, PwC found that:

• The majority of deal risks typically relate to one or more of three key elements: the asset itself, the seller, or the government.
• The most common barrier to deal completion is an inability to get comfortable with valuations. 40 percent of failed deals in PwC’s data set fell victim to valuation concerns.
• The most common problems that emerge after a deal closes concern partnering, causing 30 percent of problems post-deal.  Beyond partnering, the same issues that prevent deals from closing also frequently emerge post-deal (direct government interference, problems with financial information and non-compliant business practices).

Fortunately, PwC’s report also includes five key recommendations for dealmakers when pursuing deals in growth markets. PwC advises dealmakers to: (more…)

Experian’s latest Business Benchmark Report is encouraging.

Business performance in Q4 improved in most categories quarter over quarter, and even though certain metrics remain negative from a year-over-year perspective, it’s clear many companies are working toward a more positive business profile.

For example:

Risk scores remained relatively stable over Q4 and the previous year. Interestingly, the largest businesses (those with more than 1,000 employees) showed the greatest quarter-over-quarter improvement (2.2 percent), but the largest decline (14.7 percent) year over year.

Days beyond terms (DBT) appears to be stabilizing quarter over quarter, as well. However, (more…)

The vast majority of the world’s consumers are located beyond the borders of the US, and yet only 24 percent of the nation’s small and medium-sized businesses currently are engaged in global commerce, according to new research released a few weeks ago by UPS.

The online survey, which polled 1,082 US small-and medium-sized businesses last August, was designed to measure current perceptions of global trade, identify export barriers and uncover potential strategies to overcome these barriers so SMBs can become more engaged in global trade. The results showed that:

(more…)

The global automotive industry is poised for continued growth in 2012, provided the European Union gets a handle on the debt crisis there.

In an announcement last week, PwC’s automotive analyst group, Autofacts, said that it expects 2012 global light vehicle assembly will exceed 79 million units, an increase of 6.8 percent from 2011’s total.

According to Autofacts, there are many factors contributing to the positive outlook. For instance:

• Local demand in the BRIC marketplace is on the rise. Monetary tightening and other policy shifts in Brazil, India and China caused slower growth in 2011. But, as PwC points out, inflationary fears in these markets are subsiding –prompting correspondingly looser monetary policy –and these markets could be poised for substantial growth once again. Russia is positioned for another year of strong local demand. Autofacts forecasts BRIC growth is likely to reach double digits (12 percent) in 2012 following only five percent growth in 2011. (more…)