Maplecroft: Growth Economies Can Pose High Risk
Growth economies are ripe for investment and development, but a new report from Maplecroft reminds us that these opportunities often come hand-in-hand with significant business challenges.
Maplecroft’s Global Risks Atlas 2011, focuses on seven key ‘global risk’ areas, which are defined as risks that have the ability to affect multiple regions and industry sectors, but are outside the control of an individual government or business. The list of seven key global risk areas includes:
- macroeconomic risk
- security risk
- governance risk and illicit economies
- resource security
- climate change
- pandemics
- societal resilience, including human rights
The four countries that top the ranking –Somalia (1), Sudan (2), Afghanistan (3) and DR Congo(4) –are all rated ‘extreme risk.’ Each of these countries is characterized by weak governance, internal conflicts and regional instability.
However, as Maplecroft points out, business leaders may want pay particular attention to the several strategically important growth economies that are also rated as ‘high risk.’ Nigeria (12), India (15), the Philippines (17), Russia (21) and Indonesia (32) are among the countries driving most of the positive momentum behind the world economy, but Maplecroft rates all of them as ‘high risk.’
Each of these countries face unique challenges, but, with the Philippines (8), Russia (10) and India (11) rated ‘extreme risk’ and Nigeria (12) and Indonesia (28) considered ‘high risk’ in the ‘security risk’ category, politically motivated violence and terrorism must now be a primary concern for investors in these territories. (more…)









