@Risk

Focused on supplier risk issues for business leaders

Global Retail Theft on the Rise, Especially for Cheese

October 24, 2011 | No Comments →

Losses from shoplifting, employee or supplier fraud, organized retail crime and administrative errors (also known as “shrink”) increased last year, rising to their highest levels since Checkpoint Systems, Inc. began tracking global retail theft in 2007.

Overall, Checkpoint Systems found that shrink in 2011 cost the retail industry 1.45 percent of sales –which translates into a whopping $119 billion.

Here are a few more highlights from this year’s Global Retail Theft Barometer : (more…)

New California Law Requires Supply Chain Disclosures

October 17, 2011 | No Comments →

The California Transparency in Supply Chains Act of 2010 is set to go into effect January 1, 2012.

Are you ready?

The new law, which will impose disclosure obligations on all retailers and manufacturers that do business in California and have annual gross receipts that exceed $100,000,000, is designed to eradicate slavery and human trafficking from its direct supply chain for tangible goods offered for sale.

As explained in detail here, the legislation will require these retailers and manufacturers to disclose how they: (more…)

Most Consumers Expect to Spend Same or More on Back-to-School Supplies

September 02, 2011 | No Comments →

For anyone raising children, the last few weeks of summer are typically peppered with shopping trips for back-to-school supplies.  It’s a key season for retailers, typically second only to holiday shopping in December.

This year is proving to be no exception. Despite concerns about the volatile economy, a recent study by Deloitte found that nearly nine out of 10 consumers plan to maintain or increase their back-to-school spending. More specifically:

  • 86 percent of the households surveyed expect to spend the same or more on back-to-school items this year.
  • Even so, consumers said they will be vigilant about the cost of the items they plan to purchase. Three out of 10 (29 percent) consumers believe prices on new back-to-school merchandise are higher than a year ago, and nearly two-thirds (65 percent) said low prices are the most important retailer attribute for back-to-school shopping.
  • More than half (55 percent) of those polled reported that they will buy only what the family needs, and more than one-quarter (26 percent) will reuse last year’s items due to concerns about the economy or their finances. Nearly three out of 10 (28 percent) will consolidate trips to save on gas.

Which inflation-related concerns could derail consumer spending this season? Seven out of 10 respondents cited higher food prices (72 percent) and higher energy prices (70 percent), followed by roughly half (51 percent) who pointed to the lack of improvement in the job market.

“Retailers need to be prepared for a consumer who is sensitive to prices, especially with the pinch households are feeling from higher gas and energy costs this summer,” said Alison Paul, vice chairman, Deloitte LLP and Deloitte’s retail & distribution sector leader. “Retailers should monitor customers’ reactions closely to recognize where they are flexible, and where promotions are necessary to drive traffic and generate purchases of higher margin products in the store.”

Deloitte also probed evolving consumer buying behaviors. The survey found that shoppers increasingly rely on mobile devices and social networks for brand information, discounts, etc. For example: (more…)

June Retail Sales Show Twelve Consecutive Months of Growth

July 25, 2011 | No Comments →

Retail industry sales are up again, marking the 12th consecutive month of increases.

According to data from the National Retail Federation, retail industry sales (which exclude automobiles, gas stations, and restaurants) in June increased 0.3 percent seasonally adjusted from May and 5.5 percent unadjusted year-over-year.

June retail sales (which include non-general merchandise categories such as autos, gasoline stations and restaurants) also rose. Those figures, released last week by the US commerce Department, increased 0.1 percent seasonally adjusted month-to-month and 8.4 percent unadjusted year-over-year.

The National Retail Federation says last month’s warm weather, lower gas prices and strong Father’s Day promotions put consumers in a spending mood. In particular: (more…)

China Ranks as Most Attractive Emerging Market in A. T. Kearney’s 2011 Retail Apparel Index

July 15, 2011 | No Comments →

China is now the most attractive emerging market for apparel retailers, according to A. T. Kearney’s latest Apparel Index, and already, several brands have aggressively entered the market.

PHV Apparel Group (perhaps best known for its signature brand, Izod) plans to open 3,000 stores in China over the next five years. Likewise, Italian retailer RDM has invested $910 million to develop five luxury outlet centers there, and Gap, Inc. opened stores in Beijing and Shanghai late last year.

According to A. T. Kearney, China’s growing middle class is expanding its buying behaviors beyond traditional venues.

“Retail formats in China are diversifying beyond traditional department stores. Chinese consumers are beginning to shop at venues such as hyper markets, specialty stores, outlets, discount stores and online,” Hana Ben-Shabat, a partner with A.T. Kearney and co-leader of the 2011 Apparel Index study, said.

The United Arab Emirates ranked second in the 2011 Apparel Index, driven by a population with a high disposable income and immense fashion consciousness.  In addition, as A. T. Kearney points out, the expatriate populace and tourism also drive consumption in this market. Plus, the UAE is both a regional commerce center in the Middle East and a preferred market for entering the Middle East, as well as for testing new products and retail formats.

The Retail Apparel Index is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100. It includes analysis of the clothing market attractiveness (60 percent), levels of retail development (20 percent) and country risk (20 percent). Country risk indicators include political and financial risk, business readiness and business cost of crime, terrorism and corruption.

Here are the 2011 Apparel Index “top ten,” along with each country’s overall score: (more…)