@Risk

The global automotive industry is poised for continued growth in 2012, provided the European Union gets a handle on the debt crisis there.

In an announcement last week, PwC’s automotive analyst group, Autofacts, said that it expects 2012 global light vehicle assembly will exceed 79 million units, an increase of 6.8 percent from 2011’s total.

According to Autofacts, there are many factors contributing to the positive outlook. For instance:

• Local demand in the BRIC marketplace is on the rise. Monetary tightening and other policy shifts in Brazil, India and China caused slower growth in 2011. But, as PwC points out, inflationary fears in these markets are subsiding –prompting correspondingly looser monetary policy –and these markets could be poised for substantial growth once again. Russia is positioned for another year of strong local demand. Autofacts forecasts BRIC growth is likely to reach double digits (12 percent) in 2012 following only five percent growth in 2011. (more…)

Economic uncertainty in the EU is leading European manufacturers to scale-back operations, investment projections and optimism.

In fact, recently released Q3 ’11 results of the MFGWatch Quarterly Survey of North American & EMEA Manufactures show that:

• Only about one-third (35 percent) of the European supply-side manufacturers polled reported business growth in Q3’ 11 –that’s down from 44 percent in Q2.
• About the same amount (34 percent) of suppliers said their businesses have contracted –that’s nearly double the 18 percent who reported contraction in Q2.
• Buy-side manufacturers in Europe aren’t faring any better. Sourcing manufacturers in the EU reported growth in their businesses fell from 44 percent to 27 percent in Q3’11. Buy-side manufacturers indicating contraction rose from 16 percent to 30 percent over the same period.

In addition, the survey found that both buy-side and supplier manufacturers in Europe are hiring less and laying off more employees. Among supply-side manufacturers, 13 percent fewer added jobs, while another 13 percent more shed jobs (20 percent, up from 3 percent in Q2’11). Sourcing manufacturers also saw employment dwindle – with 27 percent adding jobs (down from 31 percent) and 18 percent decreasing payroll (up from 9 percent in Q2’11).

What’s more, as MFGWatch points out, perhaps the most telling results that point to the worsening European economic conditions are: (more…)

Several materials used in the manufacture of clean energy technologies such as wind turbines, electric vehicles, solar cells and energy-efficient lighting are at risk of supply disruptions in the short term, according to a new report released by the US Department of Energy (DOE).

The 2011 Critical Materials Strategy is DOE’s second report on this topic and provides an update to last year’s analysis. After its analysis, the DOE has concluded that:

• Supply challenges for five rare earth elements (REEs) (dysprosium, neodymium, terbium, europium and yttrium) may affect clean energy technology deployment in the years ahead.
• The risks of supply disruptions in the short term will generally decrease in the medium and long term.

The report also includes a discussion of DOE’s strategy to address these critical materials challenges. DOES says its strategy rests on three pillars: (more…)

China is exposed to significant natural threats, including earthquakes, windstorms, floods and tsunamis, and a new study from FM Global revealed there is growing concern that a natural disaster in China will have a severe impact on supply chains –even more than the 2011 Japan earthquake and tsunami did.

The FM Global Supply Chain Risk Study surveyed 100 financial execs at large multinational corporations and found that: (more…)

Rising labor costs and quality concerns have many US companies reevaluating their overseas strategies.

In fact, new research conducted by Cook Associates Executive Search found that a full 85 percent of manufacturing executives see the possibility of  certain manufacturing operations returning to the US.

What are the reasons for this potential shift? Survey participants cited:

• overseas costs (37 percent)
• logistics (19 percent)
• other, including economic/political issues, quality and safety concerns, patriotism and overseas skills shortages for highly technical manufacturing processes (36 percent)

The study, which polled nearly 3,000 manufacturing executives primarily in small- to mid-sized US companies from October 13 through November 18, 2011, identified low-volume, high-precision, high-mix operations, automated manufacturing and engineered products requiring technology improvements or innovation as the primary forms of manufacturing returning to the US. (more…)