@Risk

Results of the 2011 Change in the (Supply) Chain survey show that many Japanese high-tech companies are shifting supply sourcing locations from domestic to other Asian countries, such as South East Asia.

More specifically, the survey, which was conducted by IDC Manufacturing Insights and commissioned by UPS, revealed that:

• The Japanese companies interviewed expect to reduce their domestic supply sourcing by nearly half, from 96 percent to 53 percent in the next three to five years.
• These companies also expect to increase sourcing from Mature Asia Pacific Countries (Thailand, Malaysia, Hong Kong, and Singapore) almost threefold, from 9 percent to 24 percent.

The key concern appears to be cost management. More than two-thirds (68.9 percent) of the Japanese companies surveyed cited “reducing total supply chain costs” as the top supply chain priority in the past years. Not surprisingly, cost is also expected to remain one of the top drivers of change in the supply chain in the next three to five years. (more…)

After several down months of retailers reducing their imports compared to last year, we’re likely to see a (slight) turnaround in December.

The monthly Global Port Tracker report, released last week by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Hackett Associates, forecasts that import cargo volume at the nation’s major retail container ports should increase 0.3 percent this month compared to December 2010.

Global Port Tracker covers the US ports of Long Angeles/Long Beach, Oakland, Seattle and Tacoma on the West Coast, New York/New Jersey, Hampton Roads, Charleston and Savannah on the East Coast, and Houston on the Gulf Coast. It records retail container traffic in Twenty-foot Equivalent Units (TEU), where one TEU is one 20-foot cargo container or its equivalent.

Here is the volume these ports have handled over the past few months: (more…)

The semiconductor industry heard some welcome news last week.

Despite a challenging global economy and natural disasters that impacted production in Asia, the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) said it expects continued growth in 2011, 2012 and 2013.

More specifically, the SAI endorsed the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization’s Autumn 2011 global semiconductor sales forecast which has projected semiconductor sales to grow to $302 Billion for 2011. If that forecast holds, it will be the first time semiconductor sales have reached the $300 Billion mark and will represent a 1.3 percent growth rate over the record-breaking year in 2010.

WSTS tabulates its annual forecast by convening an extensive group of global semiconductor companies that provide accurate and timely indicators of semiconductor trends.

Beyond 2011, the WSTS expects steady, modest growth: a 3.7 percent increase for 2012, and 5.8 percent increase for 2013. (more…)

Human rights and labor standards risks for companies and investors are increasing on a global scale, according to a new study from the risk analysis and mapping company Maplecroft.

The fifth annual Human Rights Risk Atlas (HRRA) found that nearly half (48 percent) of the 197 countries studied now pose ‘extreme’ or ‘high’ risks of corporate complicity in rights violations. All told, citizens in 95 countries are now exposed to human rights violations by states –that’s a 6 percent increase in countries posing ‘extreme’ or ‘high’ risks to business and investors since 2010.

What’s the reason behind the increase in human rights and labor standards risk? Maplecroft cites three main factors:

• the violent crackdown on protesters by security forces during the Arab Spring uprisings,
• an emerging set of resource scarcity challenges for business, linked to large scale ‘land grabs’ in developing countries by foreign investors, aimed at increasing food, water and energy security at home, and
• the global economic recession continued to challenge the rights of workers and has resulted in a trend for the trafficking of migrant workers for forced labor in countries such as Malaysia, Russia, South Africa and UAE.

Here is Maplecroft’s ranking of the ten countries where there’s the most extreme risk for human rights violations: (more…)

Scientists at the Joint Research Centre (JRC), the European Commission’s in-house science service, have identified five metals that are both essential for manufacturing low-carbon technologies and at high risk of shortage.

These five metals are: neodymium, dysprosium, indium, tellurium and gallium.

According to the report, titled Critical Metals in Strategic Energy Technologies, the risk of shortage stems from:

• Europe’s dependency on imports (as in the US, virtually the entire European supply of these metals comes from China),
• increasing global demand,
• supply concentration and
• geopolitical issues.

Furthermore, these metals are not easily recyclable or substitutable. (more…)